SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.34%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.41%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Instituto |
60.68% ( 0.16) | 25.64% ( -0.09) | 13.68% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 33.78% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.66% ( 0.16) | 65.34% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.87% ( 0.11) | 84.12% ( -0.11) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( 0.13) | 21.87% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( 0.2) | 55.12% ( -0.2) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.23% ( -0.01) | 56.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.09% ( -0.01) | 88.9% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 18.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 60.67% | 0-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 13.69% |
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