SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Instituto |
47.36% ( -0.35) | 29.96% ( 0.08) | 22.68% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 37.06% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.41% ( -0.05) | 68.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.68% ( -0.03) | 86.32% ( 0.03) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( -0.21) | 29.53% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.44% ( -0.26) | 65.55% ( 0.26) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.59% ( 0.25) | 47.4% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.21% ( 0.19) | 82.79% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 17.07% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.27% Total : 47.35% | 0-0 @ 14% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 29.95% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.42% Total : 22.68% |
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