SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.08%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
48.55% ( 0.38) | 29.18% ( 0.17) | 22.27% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 38.36% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.25% ( -0.82) | 66.75% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.9% ( -0.56) | 85.09% ( 0.56) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -0.21) | 28% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( -0.26) | 63.64% ( 0.26) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.28% ( -1.07) | 46.72% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.72% ( -0.82) | 82.27% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 16.65% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.5% Total : 48.54% | 0-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.39) 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.27% |
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