SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Instituto |
56.3% ( -0.35) | 25.81% ( 0.24) | 17.89% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.7% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.37% ( -0.62) | 60.63% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.28% ( -0.47) | 80.71% ( 0.47) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( -0.4) | 21.7% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( -0.61) | 54.85% ( 0.61) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.98% ( -0.23) | 48.02% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.75% ( -0.17) | 83.25% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 15.92% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 56.29% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.44% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.89% |
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