Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Spartak Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
35% (![]() | 25.34% (![]() | 39.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% (![]() | 47.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% (![]() | 69.6% (![]() |
Spartak Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% (![]() | 26.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.71% (![]() | 61.29% (![]() |
Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.35% (![]() | 23.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% (![]() | 57.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Spartak Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
1-0 @ 8.3% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 11.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.93% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 27 |
2 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 20 |
4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 |
5 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Nizhny Novgorod | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 17 |
7 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
8 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
10 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
11 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 |
12 | OrenburgOrenburg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
13 | Baltika | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
14 | RostovRostov | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 10 |
15 | Fakel | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 9 |
16 | Sochi | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 6 |
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