SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
21.58% ( -0.25) | 25.49% ( 0.04) | 52.93% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.37% ( -0.41) | 55.63% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.21% ( -0.34) | 76.79% ( 0.34) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.07% ( -0.49) | 40.93% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.51% ( -0.44) | 77.49% ( 0.44) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( -0.08) | 21.05% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.15% ( -0.12) | 53.85% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.58% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 10.46% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 52.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
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