SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
18.76% ( 0.07) | 23.16% ( 0.06) | 58.08% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.19% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( -0.14) | 50.06% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.96% ( -0.12) | 72.03% ( 0.12) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% | 40.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.65% ( -0) | 77.35% ( 0) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( -0.09) | 16.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.94% ( -0.17) | 47.05% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.76% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.88% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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