SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 88.52%. A draw has a probability of 8.2% and a win for Fakel has a probability of 3.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win is 3-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.78%) and 4-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Fakel win it is 0-1 (1.19%).
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fakel |
88.52% ( 1.62) | 8.21% ( -1.09) | 3.27% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 40.26% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.41% ( 2.94) | 26.59% ( -2.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.04% ( 3.65) | 46.96% ( -3.65) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.23% ( 0.74) | 3.77% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 83.86% ( 2.36) | 16.14% ( -2.36) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.84% ( -0.18) | 58.16% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.32% ( -0.1) | 89.68% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fakel |
| 3-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.78)4-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.5)1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.92)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.69)2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.46)4-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.24)6-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.56)5-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.35)6-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.35)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)7-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.38% Total : 88.5% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.52) 0-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.38% Total : 8.21% | 0-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.02% Total : 3.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 74 | 20 | 54 | 70 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 58 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 62 | 46 | 16 | 48 |
| 7 | OrenburgOrenburg | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 45 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 45 |
| 10 | Sochi | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Fakel | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 67 | -42 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 13 |
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