SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
14.68% ( -0.02) | 21.03% ( -0.03) | 64.29% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( 0.08) | 48.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% ( 0.07) | 70.27% ( -0.07) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% ( 0.01) | 44.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.24% ( 0.01) | 80.76% ( -0.01) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.75% ( 0.04) | 14.25% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.98% ( 0.08) | 42.01% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.68% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 64.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | RostovRostov | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sochi | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Baltika | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | OrenburgOrenburg | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Fakel | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 0 |
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