SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 82.94%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 5.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.97%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (1.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Rostov |
82.94% ( 0.01) | 11.57% ( -0) | 5.49% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.46% ( -0.03) | 32.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.8% ( -0.03) | 54.19% ( 0.03) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.23% ( -0) | 5.77% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.78% ( -0.01) | 22.22% ( 0) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.34% ( -0.05) | 53.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.94% ( -0.03) | 87.06% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Rostov |
| 2-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.32% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.87% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)7-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 82.93% | 1-1 @ 5.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 11.57% | 0-1 @ 1.93% 1-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 5.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 11 | 46 | 54 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 45 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Sochi | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 23 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 50 | -31 | 14 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 13 |
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