SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | FC Krasnodar | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 13 | 16 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 7 | 15 | 17 |
| 2 | FC Krasnodar | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 13 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
28.9% ( -0.92) | 26.64% ( -0.27) | 44.45% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% ( 0.66) | 54.7% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( 0.54) | 76.02% ( -0.54) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( -0.34) | 33.95% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.37% ( -0.38) | 70.63% ( 0.37) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( 0.89) | 24.48% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.07% ( 1.24) | 58.93% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.9% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 65 | 13 | 52 | 61 |
| 2 | RostovRostov | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 49 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 48 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Dynamo Moscow | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Sochi | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 34 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 32 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 27 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
| 13 | Fakel | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 17 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 49 | -29 | 13 |
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