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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2021 at 5pm UK
Petrovsky Stadium
Zenit
7 - 1
Spartak Moscow
Azmoun (19', 36'), Claudinho (28'), Mostovoy (45', 56'), Dzyuba (80' pen.), Erokhin (89')
Rakitskiy (72')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Promes (53')
Caufriez (65'), Bakaev (90+2')
Caufriez (79')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawSpartak Moscow
52.17%22.64%25.19%
Both teams to score 59.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.75%40.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.37%62.63%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47%15.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55%44.45%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8%29.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86%65.14%
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 52.17%
    Spartak Moscow 25.19%
    Draw 22.64%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 52.17%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-1 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 25.19%

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Russian Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Zenit St PetersburgZenit25194265135261
2RostovRostov26148444341050
3Spartak Moscow25147455322349
4CSKA MoscowCSKA25146546232348
5Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny2613494134743
6Dynamo Moscow2612684435942
7FC KrasnodarKrasnodar25116853411239
8OrenburgOrenburg25123104848039
9Sochi25104113545-1034
10Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv2595114242032
11Ural YekaterinburgUral2676132741-1427
12Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov2567122540-1525
13Fakel26412103345-1224
14Nizhny Novgorod2665152749-2223
15KhimkiKhimki2645172458-3417
16Torpedo Moskva2634192049-2913
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