SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
59.95% ( 0.01) | 20.72% ( -0) | 19.32% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.02) | 38.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.16% ( -0.02) | 60.84% ( 0.02) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.47% ( -0) | 12.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.46% ( -0) | 38.53% ( 0) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.02) | 33.43% ( 0.02) |
