Russian Premier League | Gameweek 29
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Futbol'naya Akademiya Spartak im. F. Cherenkova
Torpedo Moskva
1 - 3
Orenburg
Curic (45')
Shlyakov (50'), Samsonov (64'), Curic (72')
Samsonov (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vorobyev (42' pen.),
Marin (50' pen.), Kapustyanskiy (87')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Torpedo Moskva and Orenburg.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
| Result |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Orenburg |
27.66% ( -0) | 23.29% | 49.05% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( -0) |
