SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 7.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.21%) and 1-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
78.35% ( 0.06) | 14.26% ( -0.03) | 7.38% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.23% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0.02) | 37.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.76% ( 0.02) | 60.24% ( -0.02) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.16% ( 0.02) | 7.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.22% ( 0.04) | 27.78% ( -0.04) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.99% ( -0.07) | 52.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.99% ( -0.05) | 86.01% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 2-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 78.34% | 1-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 14.26% | 0-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 7.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 50 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Fakel | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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