SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
27.16% ( -0.01) | 26.95% ( -0.01) | 45.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.27% ( 0.02) | 56.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% ( 0.01) | 77.68% ( -0.01) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( 0) | 36.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.79% ( 0) | 73.21% ( -0) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( 0.01) | 24.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.8% ( 0.02) | 59.2% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 50 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Fakel | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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