SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
38.95% ( 0.91) | 25.29% ( -0.2) | 35.76% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 56.62% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( 0.83) | 47.08% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( 0.77) | 69.32% ( -0.77) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( 0.86) | 23.88% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.92% ( 1.21) | 58.08% ( -1.21) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.5% ( -0.02) | 60.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.95% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 35.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 11 | 46 | 54 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 45 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 36 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 33 |
| 9 | Sochi | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 22 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 50 | -31 | 14 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 13 |
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