Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
