Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
