Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.
