SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
32.52% ( -0.44) | 26.14% ( 0.08) | 41.34% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.61% ( -0.45) | 51.38% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( -0.4) | 73.2% ( 0.39) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0.52) | 29.68% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.26% ( -0.63) | 65.73% ( 0.63) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( -0.02) | 24.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.94% ( -0.02) | 59.05% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.52% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 68 | 15 | 53 | 64 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 49 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Sochi | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 34 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 32 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 27 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Fakel | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 17 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 49 | -29 | 13 |
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