SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
42% ( -0.66) | 24.97% ( 0.08) | 33.02% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( -0.19) | 46.18% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( -0.18) | 68.48% ( 0.18) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.39) | 21.96% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.75% ( -0.6) | 55.25% ( 0.6) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.27) | 26.81% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.9% ( 0.35) | 62.1% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 65 | 13 | 52 | 61 |
| 2 | RostovRostov | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 50 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 49 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 48 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 39 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Sochi | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 22 |
| 14 | Fakel | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 17 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 13 |
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