Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
