MX23RW : Sunday, April 9 19:50:32
SM
Sunday, April 9
Oct 23, 2021 at 12pm UK at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium
Nizhny Novgorod
1 - 4
Krasnodar
Gotsuk (83')
Penchikov (64'), Kosarev (80'), Suleymanov (83'), Gotsuk (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Krychowiak (5'), Spertsyan (56'), Chernikov (73'), Ilyin (76')
Cordoba (20'), Safonov (83'), Chernikov (89')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and FC Krasnodar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFC Krasnodar
19.76%24.07%56.17%
Both teams to score 48.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67%52.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98%74.02%
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04%40.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48%77.52%
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52%18.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31%49.69%
Score Analysis
    Nizhny Novgorod 19.76%
    FC Krasnodar 56.16%
    Draw 24.06%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 6.76%
2-1 @ 5.09%
2-0 @ 3.02%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.76%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 12.78%
0-2 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-3 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 5.42%
0-4 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 2.29%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 56.16%

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Russian Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Zenit St PetersburgZenit22173257114654
2RostovRostov21135338281044
3Spartak Moscow22126448272142
4CSKA MoscowCSKA22125540202041
5Dynamo Moscow22106639291036
6Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny2211383329436
7FC KrasnodarKrasnodar22105747361135
8OrenburgOrenburg2110294141032
9Sochi229493241-931
10Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv2274113239-725
11Ural YekaterinburgUral2274112435-1125
12Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov2266102333-1024
13Nizhny Novgorod2254132444-2019
14Fakel2221192741-1417
15Torpedo Moskva2234151535-2013
16KhimkiKhimki2234151950-3113
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