Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
