Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
