Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
