Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
