Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
