SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
47.18% ( 0.03) | 25.72% ( -0.01) | 27.11% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( 0.02) | 52.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( 0.02) | 73.8% ( -0.02) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.03) | 22.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.58% ( 0.04) | 55.41% ( -0.04) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( -0.01) | 33.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.36% ( -0.01) | 70.64% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.17% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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