SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Baltika |
57.3% ( -2.72) | 22.83% ( 0.95) | 19.87% ( 1.77) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.82% ( -1.49) | 47.18% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.59% ( -1.4) | 69.41% ( 1.4) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.79% ( -1.41) | 16.21% ( 1.41) |
