SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 84.99%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 4.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 4-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
84.99% ( 0.06) | 10.1% ( -0.08) | 4.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.45% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.82% ( 0.66) | 27.18% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.28% ( 0.83) | 47.71% ( -0.83) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.57% ( 0.13) | 4.43% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 81.76% ( 0.39) | 18.24% ( -0.39) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.61% ( 0.65) | 51.39% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.4% ( 0.42) | 85.6% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
| 3-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.06)7-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.25% Total : 84.98% | 1-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.1% | 1-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.82% Total : 4.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
| 3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
