We said: Portimonense 0-2 Benfica
Having put their slight blip behind them with three consecutive victories, and knowing two victories will certainly be enough to seal the title, we cannot envisage Benfica being derailed on Saturday and instead anticipate them triumphing in relatively comfortable fashion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.38%) and 0-3 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result |
| Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
9.08% ( 0) | 15.74% ( 0) | 75.18% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( 0.01) |
| 61.06% ( 0.01) | 38.94% ( -0) |
| 38.74% ( 0.01) | 61.26% ( -0) |
| 51.34% ( 0.01) | 48.65% ( -0.01) |
