SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Dumbarton |
33.39% ( -0.01) | 26.09% ( 0.02) | 40.51% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.06% ( -0.08) | 50.94% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.18% ( -0.07) | 72.81% ( 0.07) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( -0.05) | 28.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.23% ( -0.06) | 64.76% ( 0.06) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( -0.04) | 24.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.63% ( -0.05) | 59.37% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.39% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PeterheadPeterhead | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Spartans | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | StranraerStranraer | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
| 7 | East FifeEast Fife | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Clyde | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 6 |
| 10 | Elgin CityElgin | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 5 |
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