SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
46.9% ( 7.67) | 25.65% ( -0.65) | 27.45% ( -7.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.07) | 51.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( 0.06) | 73.4% ( -0.05) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( 3.81) | 22% ( -3.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.69% ( 5.46) | 55.31% ( -5.45) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% ( -4.87) | 33.45% ( 4.87) |
