SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Dumbarton |
36.2% ( 0.02) | 25.58% ( 0) | 38.22% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( -0.01) | 48.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -0.01) | 70.47% ( 0.01) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( 0.01) | 25.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.05% ( 0.01) | 60.95% ( -0.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.01) | 24.83% ( 0.02) |
