SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
46.97% ( 0.02) | 23.89% ( 0.08) | 29.14% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.92% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( -0.45) | 42.95% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0.45) | 65.35% ( 0.45) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( -0.17) | 18.47% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.33% ( -0.29) | 49.67% ( 0.28) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.3) | 27.72% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.71% ( -0.38) | 63.29% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.97% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 67 | 37 | 30 | 73 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 62 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 51 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 48 |
| 6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 45 |
| 8 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 42 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 40 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 39 |
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