SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
47.18% ( -1.2) | 24.09% ( -0.17) | 28.73% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( 1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% ( 1.68) | 44.11% ( -1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.51% ( 1.62) | 66.49% ( -1.62) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.17) | 18.84% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.71% ( 0.29) | 50.28% ( -0.29) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 1.87) | 28.6% ( -1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.6% ( 2.28) | 64.4% ( -2.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.62)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.18% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.4)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 73 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 45 |
| 6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 44 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 44 |
| 8 | Elgin CityElgin | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 39 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 36 |
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