SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
28.66% ( -0.02) | 24.41% ( -0.01) | 46.92% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( 0.04) | 45.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( 0.03) | 67.94% ( -0.04) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( 0) | 29.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.59% ( 0) | 65.41% ( -0) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.03) | 19.54% ( -0.03) |
