Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
50.94% ( -0) | 22.99% ( 0.01) | 26.07% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.51% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.95% ( -0.05) | 41.05% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.56% ( -0.05) | 63.44% ( 0.05) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.75% ( -0.02) | 16.24% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.23% ( -0.03) | 45.76% ( 0.03) |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( -0.03) | 28.94% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( -0.04) | 64.83% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 26.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stirling AlbionStirling | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 65 | 34 | 31 | 70 |
2 | Dumbarton | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 61 |
3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 50 |
4 | East FifeEast Fife | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 47 |
5 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 45 |
6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
7 | StranraerStranraer | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 41 |
8 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 38 |
9 | Elgin CityElgin | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 37 |
10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 36 |
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