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Jul 16, 2022 at 3pm UK at Galabank
Annan
4 - 0
Elgin
Smith (15' pen., 38'), Goss (20', 88')
Galloway (35')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Cairns (22'), Cooper (44'), MacEwan (60'), Sopel (62'), McHardy (64')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Annan Athletic and Elgin City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Annan AthleticDrawElgin City
39.06% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 26.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 34.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)50.75% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (-0.032 -0.03)72.64% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)25.48% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)60.32% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)27.9% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)63.52% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Annan Athletic 39.06%
    Elgin City 34.84%
    Draw 26.1%
Annan AthleticDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.06%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-0 Annan (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: QotS 2-3 Annan
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Annan 2-1 Edinburgh
Friday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Edinburgh 2-0 Annan
Tuesday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Forfar 1-1 Annan
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Annan 1-0 Forfar
Tuesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Ayr 0-0 Elgin (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 1-4 Cowdenbeath
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stirling 0-2 Elgin
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 0-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 0-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
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