Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
