SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
48.03% ( 1.33) | 23.94% ( 0.09) | 28.02% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.09% ( -1.33) | 43.91% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% ( -1.31) | 66.29% ( 1.31) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( 0.01) | 18.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.42% ( 0.02) | 49.58% ( -0.02) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( -1.66) | 28.99% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.1% ( -2.11) | 64.89% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.03% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.43% Total : 28.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 67 | 37 | 30 | 73 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 62 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 51 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 48 |
| 6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 45 |
| 8 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 42 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 40 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 39 |
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