Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock II win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%).