SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Dumbarton |
38.31% ( 0.01) | 26.06% ( -0) | 35.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( 0.01) | 50.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( 0.01) | 72.4% ( -0.01) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( 0.01) | 25.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.3% ( 0.01) | 60.7% ( -0.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -0) | 27.3% |
