SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Elgin City |
65.62% ( 0.2) | 20.25% ( -0.09) | 14.13% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( 0.18) | 45.95% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.17) | 68.26% ( -0.16) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( 0.12) | 13.17% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.12% ( 0.23) | 39.88% ( -0.23) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.74% ( -0.04) | 44.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.66% ( -0.04) | 80.34% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 65.61% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.25% | 0-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
| 19 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 25 | -17 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 29 | -22 | 1 |
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