SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
43.14% ( 0.03) | 24.62% ( -0) | 32.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( -0.01) | 44.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( -0.01) | 67.17% ( 0) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( 0.01) | 20.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.45% ( 0.02) | 53.54% ( -0.02) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.02) | 26.63% ( 0.02) |
