SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
26.16% ( -0.19) | 25.07% ( -0.03) | 48.77% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -0.02) | 50.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -0.02) | 72.07% ( 0.02) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.17) | 33.68% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.66% ( -0.18) | 70.33% ( 0.18) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( 0.09) | 20.57% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.9% ( 0.14) | 53.09% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.16% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 48.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50 | 7 | 43 | 45 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 40 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 35 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 32 |
| 5 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 29 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 28 |
| 9 | Sochi | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 19 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 14 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 7 |
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