Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 71.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.14%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.