SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Krasnodar | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
53.07% ( -0.11) | 23.35% ( -0) | 23.58% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( 0.1) | 45.05% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( 0.1) | 67.4% ( -0.11) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0) | 16.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.98% ( 0) | 47.02% ( -0) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( 0.15) | 33.12% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.28% ( 0.16) | 69.72% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 48 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 40 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 35 |
| 5 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | OrenburgOrenburg | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 31 |
| 7 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 29 |
| 9 | Sochi | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 19 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 20 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 13 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 7 |
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